That brings up an interesting idea... what about Obama nominating Judge Jordan? A moderate, former prosecutor. He would be the first Cuban-American on the Court. He clerked for Justice O'Connor and he even played baseball at UM. He was confirmed 93-1 for the district seat and 89-5 for the 11th Circuit, so he sailed through. He would also be the first Floridian on the Court, something I have discussed before.Today, the New York Times also lists Jordan as a potential candidate:
SCOTUSBlog's Tom Goldstein hasn't mentioned Jordan yet. His money is on Loretta Lynch. But he does say this:
Minority voters are a different matter. Traditionally, black and Hispanic turn-out has trailed white turn-out. In the 2004 election, the percentages were white 67.2%, black 60.0%, and Hispanic 47.2%. In 2008, they were white 66.1%, black 64.7%, and Hispanic 49.9%. The 2012 election was the first in which the proportion of black turn-out exceeded that of whites. The percentages were white 64.1%, black 66.2%, and Hispanic 48.0%.
Overall, in 2012, the white proportion of the voting population decreased to 71.1% and the minority proportion increased to 28.9% (22.8% black and Hispanic). For that reason, many attribute President Obama’s reelection to minority turn-out.
The best candidate politically would probably be Hispanic. Hispanic voters both (a) are more politically independent than black voters and therefore more in play in the election, and (b) historically vote in low numbers. In that sense, the ideal nominee from the administration’s perspective in these circumstances is already on the Supreme Court: Sonia Sotomayor, the Court’s first Latina.