The NY Times
has an interesting piece this morning on the "long conference" where all of the summer petitions will be considered. The odds of a grant from the long conference are particularly low. Can't the Court meet a few times over the summer to consider the filed cert petitions? Would that be such a burden in addition to the 70-75 cases that they hear a year?
Four weeks from now, on Sept. 28, the Supreme Court
justices will gather in private for an annual ritual called the “long
conference.” They will consider the roughly 2,000 petitions to hear
appeals that have piled up over the summer. And they will reject almost
every one.
“The summer list is where petitions go to die,” said
Gregory G. Garre, a solicitor general in the George W. Bush administration who is now at Latham & Watkins.
The
odds of persuading the Supreme Court to hear a case are always long. At
the conferences held on many Fridays during the term, which lasts from
October to June, the justices consider perhaps 200 petitions at a time
and grant about 1.1 percent of them. At the long conference, the rate is
roughly half of that, around 0.6 percent.
That difference is significant. “For the majority of petitioners, the most important moment is trying to get in the door,” said
Jeffrey L. Fisher,
a law professor at Stanford who argues frequently before the court.
“Once you’re in, the statistics say, you have a two-thirds chance of
winning. So the difference between a grant and a deny is truly the
difference for a handful of cases on the summer list between winning and
losing.”
Lawyers and scholars have various
theories about why the long conference is so inhospitable. One is that
the justices, who decide about 70 cases a year, do not want to grant too
many petitions right away for fear of having to turn down better ones
later on.
“It’s like the beginning of a long
buffet,” Professor Fisher said. “You don’t want to fill your plate with
too much stuff, lest you not have room for some delicious items at the
end of the line.”
Meantime Liptak (the author of the article) and Orin Kerr
are fighting about whether Justice Thomas here. Here is the original
NY Times piece that Kerr take on. Who has the better of the debate? Kerr seems to make valid points about the flimsy statistics cited by Liptak.